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Mixed Signals on Economy

 

Which way will economy go?


We are receiving mixed signals on the economy for 2012. For the first time in the last decade it is virtually impossible to call.


A colleague attended a trade show in the U.S. and he came back with the news that a considerable number of U.S. companies were looking to expand into the U.K. this year.

Fashion Logistics


On the fashion logistics front, which represents 70% of RFT’s business, the picture was even more confusing; RFT’s European clients, who exhibited during London Fashion week, reported that it was ‘hard’, particularly those from France, Belgium and Italy, while the German exhibitors said it was ‘so-so’. Not a very good response for top end designer fashions. The U.K.companies we took to exhibit in Paris recorded a better response.


What was surprising, the U.K. companies we took to the N.E.C. about the same time as Fashion Week, their response was ‘Great’ ‘Fantastic’. These companies were selling mid range outdoor and sports clothes, and exhibiting in non fashion shows.


Imports from China have held up, with increased shipments from Eastern Europe. On the retail side, large retailers are taking less from their suppliers than we would normally see at this time of the year. Retailers importing from China and Eastern Europe, have to order and pay for the stock in advance, this is then warehoused and delivered on a ‘Just in Time Basis.’ If sales are slower than anticipated, storage charges impact more and more on profitability as the year progresses. Look forward to deep discounting, as the British Public are still holding back on purchases.


Generally speaking U.K. designers and manufacturers are holding their share of the market, while imports from Europe are slowing a little.
Smaller multiples able to re-act quicker have reduced prices and increased stock levels. Competition on the high street is going to get hotter during the following months.

Q1 Always busy


The first quarter of the year has always been RFT’s busiest time, with most of the new contracts starting during the first quarter. Two clients of ours have secured new contracts for one of the largest fast food outlets in the U.K. One for uniforms, the other for packaging. We have numerous smaller clients who have ignored the downturn in the economy, and have won contracts against fierce competition world wide.


It is going to be an interesting year this year, with a lot of the large multinationals trying to re-invent themselves, and regain market share. Cutting costs and quality hasn’t achieved anything, innovation is the way forward.

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Vic Farron RFT Express. .

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Tags:UK Economy Hard to Call :Is UK in Recession? :ConDems Smash Record : What a Tragedy :Millions in Poverty :Google Changes :Will the Euro collapse

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