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IMF Review

John Lipsky of the I.M.F. said he backs the government's financial approach warning there were still "significant risks" which may need temporary tax cuts. Due to the weak economic growth, and rising inflation, which the IMF thought "unexpected", but were "largely temporary" [how long is temporary, the length of this parliament?]. The IMF [International Monetry Fund] was, with all the information, and expert economist to hand, ‘surprised’ at UK inflation and low growth, who are they trying to con?
On 26/01/11 we quoted in our article Inflation Up-Unemployment Up-Government Spending Up, that the out going head of the CBI Sir Richard Lambert said: "We have to have growth in employment". He criticised the coalition of failing to come up with policies that support economic growth. "It's failed to articulate in big picture terms its vision of what the UK economy might become under its stewardship”.

The IMF made a statement choreographed by the Treasury, in which they broadly said the ConDems were on the right path, although growth was very low, inflation was high, unemployment was exceptionally high, prompting them to downgrade their growth forecast to a pathetic 1.5% for this year, with inflation staying above 4% for the rest of the year.
The day after the IMF delivered its’ less than favourable report on the state of our nearly bankrupt country, David Cameron increased this countries donation to the IMF by £9b to £22b. This will be reflected in this month’s government borrowing figure, and the £9b donated to the IMF will create more debt for the future.
The current spending cuts of £9.4 billion have produced zero growth. All those jobs lost, all the misery of inflation and higher taxes, all those companies gone bankrupt, the whole of the Condems inflicted misery, all for nothing. Now that’s what the ConDems call Fair Government.
This over generous donation follows hard on the heels of the increase in overseas aid, forcing each family to pay £300 a year towards aid, and the occasional £30m presidential private jet. This will impact on private donations to charities, which actually target the money raised to those in need, unlike the government’s policy.
Now you might think David Cameron is just showing off, trying to convince people we are the second richest country in the world, or has he just shot himself in the foot again?

George Osborne said "The IMF have publicly asked themselves the question 'whether it is time to adjust macroeconomic policies' - in other words, is it time to change course? And they have concluded definitively that 'the answer is no'." Ed Balls replied "It says it all about George Osborne that he hails an IMF forecast that implies rising unemployment and predicts slower growth. His complacency about the state of the economy is concerning,"
Mr Balls pointed out that the same coalition of a Conservative chancellor backed by the man who is now the IMF's acting director insisted in the 1990s that there was no alternative to staying in the ERM [Exchange Rate Mechanism] and were proved disastrously wrong. Britain crashed out of the European Exchange Rate Mechanism in 1992 which forced John Major to allow the pound to float. His deficit reduction plan to increase VAT on domestic fuel was defeated by a backbench rebellion in 1993. A young man called Cameron was working for the Chancellor, Norman Lamont, who was fired not long after.

The economy needs a jump start, said shadow chancellor Ed Balls, the way to do it, according to Mr Balls, is to make a temporary cut in tax to put cash into people's pockets thereby boosting consumer confidence. He suggested a reversal of the VAT rise.
Cameron’s response that it wouldn’t work, would create more debt for the future, and was untried. Labour used this method successfully to reboot the economy after the recession. The OBR endorsed it because it worked.

Stephanie Flanders the Economics editor, BBC News said that last autumn, IMF staff thought the UK was "on the mend". This latest, more sober assessment was that the "post-crisis repair of the UK economy is underway". She added that in private there had been considerable concern at the IMF last year about the pace of the government's deficit-reduction plans, but that in public the organisation had continued to endorse them.

 

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Vic Farron RFT Express. .

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